Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 128.199666 146.189553 166.143515 189.976833 217.746654 249.173382 287.561545
2025-12-07 99.235115 121.654755 148.641544 183.737150 228.488948 284.066647 358.970030
2025-12-14 83.718982 107.962929 138.878740 181.615342 239.819682 317.274437 429.747134
2025-12-21 74.488091 100.077746 134.280158 184.004684 255.561499 356.532990 512.897598
2025-12-28 69.137843 96.286036 134.106028 191.616325 278.590306 408.058363 620.856731
2026-01-04 63.812678 91.674463 131.911862 195.560204 296.151412 453.247775 725.820716
2026-01-11 58.020804 85.616020 126.730416 194.045330 304.640900 484.892909 813.265971
2026-01-18 54.560707 82.609065 125.674768 198.586810 323.025104 534.589855 939.280680
2026-01-25 50.519382 78.241502 121.952027 198.194491 332.832978 570.653982 1046.321472
2026-02-01 47.487685 75.153861 119.901123 200.229567 346.867608 615.767021 1177.884269
2026-02-08 43.742989 70.536349 114.841421 196.401912 349.700522 640.308196 1272.321363
2026-02-15 41.376431 68.000187 113.027325 198.079051 362.821731 686.077111 1418.838619
2026-02-22 38.891426 65.311068 111.154698 200.344818 379.212882 744.561181 1614.125267
2026-03-01 35.257750 60.314741 104.764259 193.481461 376.872407 764.907223 1729.334124
2026-03-08 32.686050 56.966007 101.007327 191.221157 383.568136 805.607721 1902.875227
2026-03-15 31.006259 55.078369 99.753396 193.753407 400.733131 872.516260 2159.098254
2026-03-22 30.135284 54.607988 101.129208 201.823575 431.262641 976.032243 2540.549486
2026-03-29 28.890453 53.298197 100.711037 206.006017 453.552419 1063.859172 2903.230649
2026-04-05 27.156051 50.874135 97.813311 204.399431 461.900264 1118.060124 3182.028768
2026-04-12 26.196757 49.905686 97.791582 209.216142 486.636089 1220.037972 3640.719188
2026-04-19 24.832661 47.996715 95.614879 208.800013 498.142020 1288.316115 4010.824440
2026-04-26 23.800113 46.684929 94.585364 210.958665 516.678298 1380.284875 4493.193819
2026-05-03 22.342499 44.363201 91.148463 206.898724 517.998010 1422.167748 4808.726336